98 Elections

98 Elections 2 THE WPA AND THE FORTHCOMING ELECTIONS

The Electoral Objective

While a great deal has been accomplished in the National Assembly with only one seat after the 1985 elections, and with two seats after 1992, increased representation is essential to determine the nature and composition of the government. The WPA has devised a strategy to, at best, secure the majority of seats, or, at the least, secure a sizeable number of seats to significantly affect the balance of power in the National Assembly. The WPA will contest the forthcoming elections with Dr. Rupert Roopnaraine, M.P. as the Presidential candidate. The party has been urged by members to consult inside and outside of the party for representation on its electoral list from Amerindians, youth, women, public spirited professionals and business people and organizations.

Electoral Calculations

The chances of any of the major parties obtaining an absolute majority are reduced. The 1992 elections result showed that the PPP/Civic obtained between 7% and 9% more than the highest percentage it had ever previously recorded in genuine elections. These results are unlikely to be repeated. We estimate that under present conditions, the maximum underlying core support for each of the major parties is as follows: PPP/Civic 30%, PNC 25% and WPA 14%. Thus 31% of the registered voters would be swayable. The electoral roll for the forthcoming elections is likely to have 480,000 voters. If 85% of this total turn out to vote, there will be 408,000 voters. On an electoral quota of 7,690 per seat, approximately 77,000 votes are required for ten seats, not including seats obtained through the regional system.

 

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Last Edited: 10/07/97